Impact Analysis of Trade Agreements

Our team prepares high-quality, in-depth economic analysis and impact assessments of trade policy reforms and trade outcomes. Our team has experience in preparing studies, training sessions and policy analysis on the impact of a wide range of trade scenarios, including regional integration agreements, WTO accession, and Aid-for-Trade interventions, addressing – among others – key fiscal indicators, production, consumer well-being and poverty levels.

Our practice

Our team’s experience and expertise covers a wide range of written outputs, briefing papersand hands-on technical assistancerelated to economic analysis. We have authored several impact assessments on the revenue, production, povertyand welfareimplications of bilateral, regional and multilateral agreements. Our analyses use a wide range of modellingand analytical techniques, ranging from simple data calculations to sophisticated partial and general equilibrium modelling. The scenarios cover all relevant variables to assessing trade outcomes, including fiscal reform, customs/revenue enhancement, budgetary processes, price transmission (internal and external), private sector competitiveness and household income and expenditures. All of our analyses are backed by an in-depth knowledge in handling and interpreting trade statisticsand intimate knowledge of the Harmonized System.

Our team has extensive experience in preparing technical toolsusing simple Excel interfaces to assist trade negotiators and policymakers in the formulation of national positions – the same tools tried and tested by our own team members during a wide range of negotiations. Most importantly, our team specializes in writing clear and concise reports, focused exclusively on the needs of our clients, backed by strong presentation and capacity-building skills.

Our team

  • Sacha Peter Silva, MSc,a trade economist at WTI Advisors, has prepared economic analyses on trade outcomes for thirty-five developing countries, including the Caribbean, Latin America, Africa and the Pacific. He was responsible for preparing all analytical work relating to the CARIFORUM-EU EPA and CARICOM-Canada goods offer, and has been providing extensive analytical/technical assistance to the ACP in their EPA and bilateral negotiations. He prepared wide-ranging economic analyses of, inter alia, the data and economic modelling needs of give ACP regions, the impact of an exemptions regime for the Caribbean, and the poverty implications of the demise of the Grenadian banana industry.
  • Baris Karapinar,PhD, is a Senior Research Fellow and a Co-leader of the World Trade Institute’s research program on Trade and Climate Change. He is also a lead author of the IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Fifth Assessment Report on climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Barış holds a PhD in Development Studies from the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). He joined the World Trade Institute in 2005. He has coordinated an international research project on the sustainability impact of Swiss agricultural and trade policies on developing countries. Barış has engaged in policy consultancy for a number of national and international policy institutions, including the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC) and the World Bank. Most recently he co-authored policy reports, for the European Parliament, on the EU's raw materials strategy and the EU’s Approach to International Investment Policy. He has also worked on a new Policy Framework for Commitments, Market Rules and Disciplines Relating to Natural Resources for the CARICOM. Barış is the lead editor of ‘Food Crises and the WTO’ (Cambridge; New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010). His most recent work examining the interplay of food security, WTO law and environmental policy considerations have appeared in journals such as the World Trade Review and the Journal of World Trade.
  • Anirudh Singhal, PhD, MILEis a Senior Research Fellow at the World Trade Institute, University of Bern, Co-leader of the NCCR's work programme on the impact assessment of trade and part of the faculty on the MILE Programme.  A PhD in Economics from the University of Sussex, Anirudh specialises in International Economics, Econometrics and Development. He has worked in international trade for close to eight years including at the WTO and the World Bank and has conducted specific research on trade in services, government procurement, preferential trade agreements, LDC market access, trade defence, trade facilitation, competition policy, trade in agriculture, SPS issues and trade and climate change. He has also published in these areas in academic journals and for the World Bank, the WTO, the European Commission, UNCTAD and the Commonwealth Secretariat. He is also affiliated with the Centre for the Analysis of Regional Integration at Sussex (CARIS) and has co-authored several reports on the impact of preferential trade agreements on excluded and partner countries. Anirudh graduated 'summa cum laude' from the MILE Program at the WTI and also holds a Masters degree in Economics from the Delhi School of Economics. His undergraduate degree was in Economics (Honors) from St. Stephen’s College, Delhi University.
  • Peter Tulloch, MA, a former WTO Director of both the Development and Trade Policy Review Divisions, specializing in analysis and technical assistance related to balance of payments restrictions, trade policy/legislation, regional agreements, and key trade products (e.g. textiles).
  • Andreas Lendle, MA/PhD, an economic modelling expert with a wide range of experience in applying partial and general equilibrium models to trade outcomes, as well as preparing practical technical tools for trade negotiations.